RISHI Sunak has called a General Election for July 4.

The Prime Minister confirmed in a statement outside 10 Downing Street this afternoon, Wednesday, that The King has granted his request to dissolve Parliament.

A July election is earlier than many in Westminster had expected, with a contest in October or November widely thought to have been more likely.

Attention now turns to possible outcomes and what this will mean for Warrington.

With that in mind, here are the predicted outcomes of both Warrington constituencies according to Electoral Calculus.

Warrington North

The pollsters are predicting that Warrington North will be held by Labour.

Electoral Calculus says that, if a General Election was held now, Labour would receive a predicted 56.3 per cent share of the votes.

This is an increase from the 44.2 per cent Charlotte Nichols gained in 2019 – seeing her keep her seat – with the incumbent MP given a 98 per cent chance of winning.

It is said that Ms Nichols would increase her majority from 3.3 per cent to 34.5 per cent.

The prediction is that the Conservative party would come second past the post with a 21.8 per cent vote share – a significant fall from 40.9 per cent in 2019.

Electoral Calculus believes that Reform would come third with a 13 per cent share, followed by The Green Party (4.2 per cent), Liberal Democrats (3.2 per cent) and others (1.4 per cent).

The predicted turnout is 61.5 per cent – down from 64.6 per cent in 2019.

Warrington South

If the poll is correct, Warrington South would turn from blue to red.

Electoral Calculus is predicting, perhaps unsurprisingly given the national picture, that the constituency would elect a Labour MP over Conservative.

Current Tory MP Andy Carter has confirmed that he will not be standing for re-election, with Sarah Hall standing for Labour.

Labour’s chance of winning is calculated to be 98 per cent, with the Conservatives given a two per cent chance of success.

Ms Hall is predicted to win 54.9 per cent of the vote, compared to a 24.9 per cent share by the Tories.

If correct, Reford would come third with 10.7 per cent, followed by the Lib Dems (4.4 per cent), Greens (3.3 per cent) and others (1.7 per cent).

Mr Carter won by just 75 votes and a 0.1 per cent majority in 2019, but pollsters predict the outcome would swing in Labour’s favour with a 30 per cent majority.

The predicted turnout is 66.8 per cent – down from 71.9 per cent at the last election.